As the tumultuous year of 2023 draws to a close, investors have now naturally turned their focus to the coming year and are trying their hands at predicting what might happen over the next 12 months. However, we decided to instead look back at the year that was, to some of the outcomes that were widely predicted, and what has actually transpired. This year, most experts - and consensus forecasts -- were far off the mark for much of the time, which is why at M&G Investments we don’t rely on macroeconomic predictions when building our portfolios we rely on actual asset valuations instead. 2023 was a year in which four big macroeconomic forecasts shaping investor thinking all proved to be misguided in the end.

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